Archive for August 18, 2012

A COLD FRONT CAUSES UNSETTLED WEATHER ON SATURDAY… ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN ON MONDAY, BUT THE EXTENDED FORECAST IS VERY UNCERTAIN

A cold front is currently entering the area and it may bring us some showers and thunderstorms today. The forecast today is very uncertain both for the short term and the extended period. I don’t think that forecasters are confident as to how much rainfall we will see today. The cloudy conditions this morning will probably inhibit the severe weather potential since with limited sunshine, we won’t heat up too much. However, with such high levels of humidity around, any shower/storm could produce heavy rainfall. The National Weather Service has a 70% chance of rainfall on Saturday. On Sunday, we should see improving conditions, but with the front just offshore, a shower or storm is still possible. Then, the forecast gets real interesting. Low pressure is expected to develop nearby on Monday and some models indicate that we will get a good dose of rain. Other models aren’t as aggressive with the rain. And, even the extended forecast is quite uncertain as the models can’t agree on how a general trough over the eastern states will affect our local weather…. Although the tropical Atlantic has become active, there are no immediate threats to the East Coast. Hurricane Gordon is moving east and may actually affect Portugal and Spain. Tropical Storm Helene formed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and will move into Mexico today. Another system way out in the eastern North Atlantic may eventually become a formidable system that will have to be watched very closely. However, we have plenty of time before it could become a threat to the East Coast, if it ever does. I will have an update on Sunday.

Leave a Comment