Archive for April, 2009

CLOUDS INCREASE ON MONDAY WITH RAIN EXPECTED ON TUESDAY… WEDNESDAY COULD ALSO BE UNSETTLED… IMPROVING WEATHER SEEMS LIKELY LATER IN THE WEEK

You won’t see that much sunshine over the next few days (at least through Wednesday) and Tuesday looks to be quite wet. An approaching frontal system looks to bring SE VA a soaking rain early on Tuesday. The rain should begin Monday night. The QPF maps are quite impressive for a significant rain event. And, the frontal system will be slow to pull away so Wednesday could be another unsettled day, although forecasters think right now that most of the rain will fall on Tuesday. Temperatures will remain cool for April due to an onshore wind and the cloud cover. Of course, rain is a good thing during the spring as many plants and trees are now blooming. Farmers also appreciate the rain. Remember, we are still running below normal this year despite a very wet March. By Thursday, we should dry out and the dry weather should last through the weekend. When will we see a sustained period of above normal temperatures? It probably won’t be this week but be patient. Soon, we’ll all be complaining about the heat and humidity.

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EASTER SUNDAY IS A CHILLY ONE BUT SUNSHINE WILL BE ABUNDANT… UNSETTLED WEATHER MOVES IN MONDAY NIGHT AND MAY LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY

On this Easter Sunday morning, the weathermap features a large high pressure system north of the Great Lakes region with a deep low pressure system over the Canadian Maritimes. Meanwhile, low pressure is slowly organizing in Texas. The northerly wind will keep us on the cool side through Monday but as the headline states, sunshine will be plentiful on Sunday with clouds increasing later on Monday. There may even be some scattered frost in inland spots Monday morning. A period of unsettled weather will begin Monday night and will probably last through Wednesday morning at least. The amount of rainfall that we receive is very hard to predict as the set-up is expected to be quite complicated. I will have an update on this on Monday morning. What about warm weather? The pattern has been a chilly one overall with the warm-ups being brief in nature. I really don’t see a change in this overall pattern based on what I’m reading on the internet.

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TEMPERATURES TREND DOWNWARD MAKING FOR A CHILLY EASTER SUNDAY… THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON TUESDAY

After a warm and windy Friday, a fast moving potent low pressure system moved through Hampton Roads late Friday night bringing with it some showers. This is the same system that brought all that severe weather to parts of the nation over the last few days. A tornado in TN caused fatalities and massive structural damage. As the low departs on Saturday, winds will swing around to the NW and then the N which will prevent temperatures from rising that much in the afternoon. Cooler air will move in on Saturday evening and it will stick around on Sunday, despite ample sunshine. On Monday, forecasters will be watching another low pressure area that should bring more wet weather late Monday night and on Tuesday.  The rain Friday night didn’t amount to much in my backyard and Hampton Roads did not have any severe weather from this system. I’ll have an update on Sunday morning.

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AFTER A BEAUTIFUL AND CALMER SUNDAY, WINDS PICK BACK UP ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS… COLDER WEATHER MOVES IN AFTER THAT

As one low moves away, another one is developing over the Southern Plains and will bring another round of windy weather to Hampton Roads on Monday and Tuesday. As southerly winds surge into our region ahead of the approaching cold front, moisture levels will increase Sunday night and Monday. Exactly how much rainfall we receive is something I’ve been trying to figure out this morning. Last week, we had two separate opportunities for rain according to forecasters and I received no rain at all in my backyard. Will this happen again on Monday? According to the NWS, a quarter of an inch seems likely as an average on Monday. Obviously, some areas could receive more than that. I like to see rain at this time of year with so many plants, flowers, and trees now blooming.  Severe weather is a possibility so please monitor your local media for updates throughout the day on Monday. The low pressure system may become quite strong as it moves into the Great Lakes and New England. This will usher in some very cold air for early April making Tuesday feel like late winter. Snow flurries are possible north and west of Hampton Roads. Conditions quiet down later in the week but another system seems likely on Friday. April can be a very active month with lots of wind and day to day fluctuations in temperatures. With such an active jet stream across the North American continent, this week will live up to that potential. Please also read my Saturday’s post (April 4th) for information on March’s precipitation total here in VA Beach.

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THE WEEKEND LOOKS NICE IF YOU DON’T MIND THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY… SUNDAY SHOULD BE A BIT WARMER AND LESS WINDY… SHOWERS ARE A POSSIBILITY ON MONDAY

Forecasters predicted rain two separate times during this past week and most of us missed out both times. I received no measureable rainfall during this past week. The latest storm system is  now over New England and this is quite a strong low pressure area. The pressure gradient around this system caused our windy conditions that began on Friday and should last most of today (Saturday). The Northeast saw quite a bit of rain from this system. As this low slowly moves away, high pressure is expected to build over the Southeastern States over the weekend. Saturday will be a breezy day with temperatures rising to the upper 60’s.  Due to the low humidity levels and the breezy conditions, the fire danger will be elevated today so please be mindful of that. On Sunday, things should calm down a bit. Another low pressure area will be moving well to our west through the Ohio Valley on Monday which may bring us some showers or even a thunderstorm as the fronts associated with this system approach the Mid-Atlantic region. Will we miss out on the rain again as we did with the last two systems? I’ll try to answer that question in my Sunday morning post. Much cooler weather will follow that system and temperatuers may drop into the 30’s on Tuesday night. March was a very wet month in my neighborhood. Approximately 7.50 inches fell in my backyard during March! After a very dry winter, that was very beneficial. In 2008, we saw a pattern that featured normal or above normal rainfall one month only to be followed by a very dry month. It will be interesting to see whether we can keep up the wet weather pattern. I’m hoping we could make up the deficit of about 3 inches for the year. April is not usually a wet month for our part of the world despite the song about the April showers bringing May flowers.

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