Archive for September, 2008

HURRICANE IKE MAY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT HEADS FOR THE TEXAS COAST… HEAVY RAIN FALLS IN VA BEACH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

Just a brief post on the hurricane and the heavy rain that fell in my neighborhood of VA Beach. Hurricane Ike is growing in size and it may become a major hurricane as it nears the Texas coastline. This is a very serious situation for the folks in Texas. Warm water and excellent atmospheric conditions should allow this storm to intensify to a category 3 or 4 storm. It is even within the realm of possibilities that it becomes a category 5 storm. Meanwhile, back at home, a cold front stalled just to our south. We’ve had a persistent onshore flow which has cooled us off but has kept us quite humid. This combined with a disturbance moving overhead early Thursday morning has produced showers and thunderstorms. I picked up over 4 inches of rain overnight. That’s a month worth of rain in just a few hours. Clouds will dominate the skies as the pattern remains the same on Thursday.

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HURRICANE IKE MAY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT HEADS FOR THE TEXAS COAST… HEAVY RAIN FALLS IN VA BEACH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING

Just a brief post on the hurricane and the heavy rain that fell in my neighborhood of VA Beach. Hurricane Ike is growing in size and it may become a major hurricane as it nears the Texas coastline. This is a very serious situation for the folks in Texas. Warm water and excellent atmospheric conditions should allow this storm to intensify to a category 3 or 4 storm. It is even within the realm of possibilities that it becomes a category 5 storm. Meanwhile, back at home, a cold front stalled just to our south. We’ve had a persistent onshore flow which has cooled us off but has kept us quite humid. This combined with a disturbance moving overhead early Thursday morning has produced showers and thunderstorms. I picked up over 4 inches of rain overnight. That’s a month worth of rain in just a few hours. Clouds will dominate the skies as the pattern remains the same on Thursday.

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Hurricane Ike Moves Into the Gulf of Mexico With Its Eye on the Texas Coast… Cooler Air Moves Into Hampton Roads… the Cold Front Stalls over the Carolinas

A cold front will move through Hampton Roads early Wednesday morning. This front caused a solid line of storms to develop over the Northeastern states on Tuesday. Here in the Southern Mid-Atlantic States, the rainfall was more isolated in nature. The cold front will stall over the Carolinas and this will cause some wet weather down that way. Here, we have a chance of a few showers on Wednesday, but it all depends on how far south the front gets. If it goes further south, we don’t get any rain. A small wave of low pressure may bring a few showers towards the end of the week, but there is a lot of uncertainty in the forecast. Models are offering different solutions. Meanwhile, Hurricane Ike has moved off of Cuba and is now heading W-NW into the Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to strengthen in as it approaches Texas as it will feed off of the very warm water. Ike weakened to a category one hurricane but it may strengthen back to a major hurricane. Time will tell.

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September 7th, 2008

HANNA’S GONE SO NOW ATTENTION TURNS TO IKE… WILL IKE MOVE OVER CUBA AND WEAKEN OR WILL IT GO THROUGH THE FLORIDA STRAITS INTO THE GULF UNSCATHED?… A COLD FRONT MAY BRING SOME RAIN ON TUESDAY

Hanna is gone now so now forecasters are turning their attention to Hurricane Ike, which is a category 4 storm with winds of 135 MPH at the time of this writing. Hurricane Ike has been following a rather unusual track heading just south of due west the past few days. As the high to its north is supposed to weaken, Ike is expected to turn W-NW or NW eventually. The question is… When will that happen? If it happens today (Sunday) the storm could miss Cuba and then head towards the Florida Straits and then into the Gulf having a major impact on the Florida Keys. The storm may eventually affect the Gulf Coast, which is bad news for the areas affected by Gustav. Can you imagine another evacuation of New Orleans? After that, the remnants may actually head our way or just west of here.

I picked up 1.40 inches of rain from Hanna which includes the half inch that fell on Friday. When the tropical air arrived Friday afternoon, it caused a band of heavy rain to form which moved through nearly the entire area. Dew points jumped from the low 70’s to around 80 after that rain moved through. I’m very glad that we had that rain on Friday since we did not do that well from the actual tropical storm.

A cold front may bring some showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday. Then, the front is expected to stall just south of here on Wednesday. Cloudy and cooler weather is expected on Wednesday.

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TROPICAL STORM HANNA ACCELERATES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM HAMPTON ROADS… CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SATURDAY EVENING… SUNDAY LOOKS MUCH BETTER… HURRICANE IKE’S TRACK IS UNCERTAIN

Well, Hanna behaved herself for the most part and did not intensify too much as she made landfall in SC. However, she did come ashore as a strong tropical storm. At the time of this writing, she is now moving NE away from Hampton Roads. Wind gusts to around 60 MPH have been reported at the Oceanfront in VA Beach. The rain is just about over and my storm total (including Friday’s rain) is 1.40 inches. Note that a dry slot has held down overall rainfall totals across the eastern portion of the region. The good news about this system is that it brought much needed rainfall to Hampton Roads. Yesterday (Friday), I picked up about a half inch as the tropical air ahead of Hanna surged into the region. Speaking of tropical air, the dew point last evening rose to an incredible 79 degrees. That’s about as humid as it can get in this part of the country. As Hanna moves quickly away later on Saturday, conditions will improve as our winds swing around from the SE to the SW and then the west. Sunday looks to be a nice day. Hurricane Ike is our next weather story but the latest guidance has it moving towards the Florida Straits or into Cuba. If it moves into Cuba, should weaken the storm. It has been moving on a W-SW track the last few days which is definitely good news for the SE Coast. I’ll have an update on Sunday.

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